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Despite their collective expertise, markets are apparently destined to repeat history as irrational exuberance is followed by equally irrational despair. Periodic bouts of economic chaos are the inevitable result.

Financial crises have been an unfortunate part of the industry since its beginnings. Bankers and financiers readily admit that in a business so large, so global, and so complex, it is naive to think such events can ever be avoided. A look at a number of financial crises over the last 40 years suggests a high degree of commonality: excessive exuberance, poor regulatory oversight, dodgy accounting, herd mentalities, and, in many cases, a sense of infallibility.

World in 2030

Access and compare forecasts for more than 50 indicators related to countries' macroeconomic conditions. Or, use our Forecast Accuracy Tracking Tool™ to assess the historic quality of forecasts from international institutions.

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As per data from the World Bank, global GDP in current prices totaled around $75.9 trillion in 2016. In 2017, world GDP is forecasted to expand to $79.9 trillion according to IMF’s forecast. GDP ranking by country in 2017 presented on this page shows the extent to which different countries contribute to the world’s economy. Top 5 countries by GDP in 2017 are the United States, China, Japan, Germany, and the United Kingdom which are the largest economies in the world constituting more than a half of the Gross World Product (GWP). In the ranking by real GDP, the same countries hold the top spot. In 2017, United States is in the first...

GDP by Country | Statistics from the World Bank, 1960-2017

GDP is the single most commonly referenced figure to cover the entirety of a national economy and its trajectory in a single statistic. Measured on the basis of purchasing power parities (PPP), GDP can be used for comparisons among peer countries. Using purchasing power parity with GDP involves a decrease of bias in economy estimation as PPP takes into account the relative cost of local goods, services and inflation rates of the country. Looking at the GDP figures from historic perspective allows understanding on what phase is the economy of a country at the moment. The data on GDP from the World Bank covers the period for the last half of...

The Downside of Globalization